Weekly PGA Tour Tips

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Webb Simpson – 28/1 – 2pts each-way

JT Poston – 60/1 – 1pt each-way

Joel Dahmen – 66/1 – 1pt each-way

Billy Horschel – 70/1 – 1pt each-way

Harris English – 90/1 – 0.75pts each-way

Ryan Moore – 150/1 – 0.5pts each-way

Andrew Landry – 200/1 – 0.5pts each-way

Last week, the PGA Tour returned with a thrilling finish that was not massively diminished by having no fans. The leaderboard resembled that of a major championship with more than a few in with chances. In the end, Daniel Berger prevailed after Collin Morikawa’s putter let him down badly on 18 and in the playoff. The headline pick from last week, Jordan Spieth, gave us a good run but his absence from contention over the last couple of years showed and he made some silly errors. This only yielded a partial each-way (if you backed with Paddy Power), so it was a losing week overall.

We are hoping for better luck this week as the tour moves to the RBC Heritage at the Pete Dye-designed Harbourtown Golf Links at Hilton Head Island, South Carolina. Similar to Colonial last week, this is a relatively short tight track with some small greens. This is not a bomber’s paradise where the like of Jim Furyk, Kevin Kisner and Matt Kuchar are recent winners. There are some form lines that link this event to other events on Pete Dye courses like TPC Sawgrass and Golf Club of Austin. There are also links to form on other Carolina courses likes Sedgefield, Pinehurst and Quail Hollow. With all this in mind, and given that some players have not shaken off the rust of the break for the pandemic, the following are this week’s selections.

Our headline selection this week is the former US Open and Players Champion, Webb Simpson. Form and hype might have pointed to Bryson DeChambeau being the best bet, but Webb has numerous things going for him this week. Firstly, he is in great form this season with multiple top-10’s and a win at the Phoenix Open. He also has course form with a runner-up finish in 2013 and a tied-5th in 2018. He also has Carolina form with a win at Sedgefield and has a win at Sawgrass. He also likes this time of year as he won his US Open on this week eight years ago. I think he can be forgiven the missed cut last week and should ge close.

Another player with a win at Sedgefield is last year’s Wyndham Champion, JT Poston. Fresh off a top-10 last week, Poston was tied-6th here last year on his debut in this event. A lot of factors are pointing his way and he is too hard to ignore.

Joel Dahmen had a solid top-20 finish last week in Colonial and this could have been better if he hadn’t started sluggishly on Thursday. He has strong Carolina form with a runner-up at Quail Hollow and was tied-16th here last year on his maiden appearance.

Billy Horschel possesses an accurate game that suits Harbourtown. This is evidenced in his last seven appearances here where he has two top-10’s, including a tied-5th in 2018. His price has shortened since yesterday, so there are others who agree that he has a great chance to win.

Harris English was in some of the best form of the PGA Tour before the pandemic break. He disappointed with a missed cut last week, but he goes well in this part of the world and has a top-10 finish on this course. Look for him to bounce back.

Ryan Moore has had a dip in form recently, but has shown solidly here in the last couple of years and is too big a price on a Pete Dye course that should suit his accurate iron play.

Our long shot this week is Andrew Landry at 200/1. He has already won this season at the Amex Championship and played solidly last week. He has also played well more than once at a US Open. So, in a week that should have the US Open this average hitter should be in contention this week.